Loading…
Statistics Canada reported 25.40 million acres planted to wheat for 2022, up over 2 million acres year on year and the largest area since 2013, including about 580,000 more acres of spring wheat than a March survey showed. Grain futures also fell as the dollar surged to its strongest level against a basket of currencies since 2002 and US Corn Belt rains improved crop prospects.
Larger Canadian wheat supply adds bearish pressure on global wheat prices, and a stronger dollar makes US grains less affordable to foreign buyers, reinforcing the downward move.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinJul 5, 2022After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Larger Canadian wheat acreage (largest since 2013) adds to global supply expectations, while the surging dollar and improved US crop prospects added to the selloff.
