Oil fell as much as 2.2% after the IEA warned OPEC and allies face a difficult task balancing the market next year as non-OPEC supply grows. The stronger dollar after ECB stimulus also weighed, and WTI fell to $54.64 while Brent dropped to $59.43.
Expectations of rising non-OPEC supply and weak demand from the US-China trade dispute point to softer crude prices, lowering energy costs for feed supply chains.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.