The EIA reported U.S. crude stocks rose 6.8 million barrels, against expectations of a small increase, while gasoline and distillate inventories fell. WTI for March delivery traded near $64 a barrel after the release.
The unexpected crude build is bearish for near-term crude prices, though falling product stocks and firm fuel demand partly offset the effect on diesel costs.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 22 past neutral report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.5% to +2.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.