
US crude stocks at Cushing fell to a decade low while gasoline inventories rose by 6.3 million barrels to 237.7 million, well above analyst expectations. Gasoline futures fell after the EIA data showed a large product build.
A tight Cushing crude position supports WTI, but the surprise product build points to weaker refined-product demand and pressure on fuel prices. The net effect on crude and diesel is mixed.
After 56 past neutral report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.7% to +2.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 22 past neutral report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.5% to +2.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.