
Oil fell more than 7% on March 18, 2021, to its worst day since September, with Brent settling at $63.28 and WTI at $60. The decline followed EIA data showing a fourth straight weekly rise in U.S. crude inventories after winter refinery shutdowns, plus a stronger dollar after the Fed meeting.
Rising U.S. crude stocks point to surplus supply, pressuring prices and energy-linked feed costs. The stronger dollar adds further downside pressure on dollar-denominated commodities.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, DXY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Covers the same day's selloff, citing a fourth straight weekly US crude stock build and a stronger dollar after the Fed meeting.