
Oil prices dropped to their lowest levels since late July after EIA data showed gasoline demand falling to 8.786 million bpd. Refinery runs were lower and maintenance season approached.
A sudden US dollar strength also weighed on crude.
Weak gasoline demand and reduced refinery runs cut crude consumption, while a stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive for foreign buyers.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 53 past bullish report events, DXY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2020-09-03, weak EIA gasoline demand, lower refinery runs and a sudden US dollar rise pushed crude to its lowest since late July (demand and currency).
Explains the sudden drop via weak EIA gasoline demand, lower refinery runs and US dollar strength, though it is dated a day after the move and likely describes the same drivers.