
The EIA reported a 2.0 million barrel rise in US crude inventories for the week, against an expected draw of 1.3 million barrels. WTI settled down 2% at $37.30 and Brent fell to $40.54, with gasoline and distillate demand also weak.
A surprise crude stock build and weak fuel demand confirm bearish supply-demand balances, pushing crude and diesel prices lower.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.