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Oil fell to a one-month low after EIA data showed an unexpected build in refined products, with US crude inventories up 1.9 million barrels against expectations of a 3.2 million barrel rise. Brent fell to $65.63 and WTI to $61.82, while the Forties Pipeline shutdown provided only brief support.
Refined product inventory builds signal weaker demand heading into the slow season, which pressures diesel and energy-linked costs. Lower crude weakens the biofuel feedstock outlook for soybean oil.
zeebiz.comReutersFeb 7, 2018After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 86 past bearish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.3% to +0.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
An unexpected build in refined product inventories and a one-month low in crude cut input costs and pushed ULSD futures lower during the week.
