
Oil fell to its lowest level in more than 18 years after EIA data showed US crude inventories rose 19.2 million barrels for the week ending April 10. That was well above analyst expectations of a 12 million barrel build.
A larger-than-expected inventory build confirms oversupply and signals further downward pressure on crude prices. Weaker energy prices reduce biofuel and feedstock demand support.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.