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Malaysian crude palm oil settlement fell to a 30-month low of 3,201 ringgit per tonne on May 31, 2023, averaging 3,508 ringgit in May after 4,170 in November 2022. The USDA May Oilseeds Report projected record 2023/24 global oilseed output of 672 million tons, with soybean production up 11%.
Global oilseed consumption is also forecast to rise 4%.
Forecast record oilseed supply, led by South American soybeans, outpacing demand growth weighs on vegetable oil prices and feed-fat costs. Rising Chinese import demand and Argentine crush recovery partly offset the bearish supply outlook.
megalac.comJun 2, 2023After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
