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USDA's NASS Crop Production report forecast a record-high US soybean crop of 4.38 billion bushels for 2017, up 2% from 2016, on a record 89.5 million planted acres. Corn production is forecast at 14.2 billion bushels, down 7%, with yield at 169.5 bu/acre, and wheat output is down 25% to 1.74 billion bushels.
The USDA's larger-than-expected corn and soybean crops point to ample supply and heavier ending stocks, which weighs on feed grain and meal prices. The sharp drop in wheat output is supportive for wheat prices.
nass.usda.govAug 10, 2017After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
