
USDA's May 12, 2023 WASDE projected a record U.S. corn crop of 15.265 billion bushels and a record soybean crop of 4.51 billion bushels. Projected 2023-24 ending stocks are 2.222 billion bushels for corn and 335 million bushels for soybeans.
Analysts called the U.S. new-crop stocks bearish for corn and soybeans but bullish for wheat.
Record production and large ending stocks point to ample feed grain and soymeal supplies, supporting lower corn and soybean prices while wheat sees some support.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA projected a record 15.265 billion bushel US corn crop and 2.222 billion bushels of ending stocks, a bearish supply outlook that pressured futures.
USDA projected a record US corn crop of 15.265 billion bushels and bearish stocks, reinforcing the supply-driven price drop.
Record projected US soybean crop of 4.51 billion bushels and bearish new-crop stocks raised supply expectations and pressured futures.