
The USDA's September Quarterly Grain Stocks Report showed corn at 1.99 billion bushels versus a 2.25 billion trade estimate, soybeans at 523 million versus 576 million expected, and wheat at 2.16 billion versus 2.24 billion. December corn settled at $3.79 and November soybeans at $10.23 3/4 after sharp gains.
Stocks well below trade expectations across all three grains tighten the feed-grain supply outlook and support higher prices for corn, soybeans and wheat.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.