
The USDA projected a record 15.3 billion bushel US corn crop at 181.8 bu/acre and a record soybean yield of 53.3 bu/acre. Ending stocks for 2020-21 rose to 2.76 billion bushels, toward the high end of expectations.
The farm-gate price estimate was lowered.
Record production and higher carryout signal ample feed grain supplies and downward pressure on prices into harvest.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.