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USDA's April WASDE raised US 2018-19 corn ending stocks to 2.035 billion bushels from 1.835 billion in March, and trimmed soybean ending stocks to 895 million bushels from 900 million. USDA also raised South American corn and soybean output on good weather and lowered world wheat stocks versus expectations of higher supply.
Analysts called the US figures neutral for corn, soybeans and wheat, but bearish for world corn and wheat.
A roughly 200 million bushel increase in corn carryout is a large surprise that adds bearish pressure on corn and the feed grain complex. The smaller soybean stocks estimate supports soy prices.
dtnpf.comDTN StaffApr 9, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
