
Analysis of the April USDA report found corn feed and residual use rose 150 million bushels while ethanol use fell 375 million. Ending corn stocks were raised 200 million bushels to 2.092 billion, and the season-average corn price was cut 20 cents to $3.60.
Ethanol demand has collapsed because of COVID-19 restrictions.
Larger stocks and a lower price forecast point to ample feed grain supply through the marketing year. The reduced DDGS output could shift protein demand toward soybean meal.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.