
USDA's December WASDE raised the 2020/21 US soybean crush to 2.195 billion bushels and projected ending stocks at 175 million bushels, the lowest since 2013/14. The season-average soybean price was lifted 15 cents to $10.55/bu, with soymeal and soyoil forecasts also raised.
Lower ending stocks and higher crush support soybean, meal and oil prices, and smaller Argentine output tightens meal supply and supports US exports.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.