
USDA's February 2026 WASDE lowered US 2025/26 corn ending stocks month-over-month, against trade expectations for an increase. The agency raised corn exports and cut global corn and wheat ending stocks, while raising US wheat stocks and leaving US soybean stocks unchanged.
A tighter US corn balance sheet from higher exports supports corn prices, while higher US wheat stocks weigh on wheat values.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.