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USDA's December WASDE lowered US corn ending stocks by 200 million bushels, below the average trade expectation of 1.906 billion. Soybean ending stocks were held at 470 million bushels, while the trade had expected a cut.
Wheat ending stocks fell more than the trade expected, to 795 million bushels.
The corn stocks shortfall relative to trade expectations points to a firmer US corn balance sheet and supports prices. The unexpected soybean hold versus trade expectations removes a possible bullish catalyst for that crop.
agriculture.comCassidy WalterDec 10, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
