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The USDA's October World Markets and Trade report cut 2024/25 global wheat output for the EU, Russia, India and Brazil while global production stays at a record. Domestic US wheat prices rose on tighter global supplies, and EU and Russian quotes gained $14/ton.
The report also noted India lifting its non-basmati rice export ban with a $490/ton minimum export price, which is pushing rice prices lower.
Lower wheat supplies in major exporters support wheat prices, while India's rice export reopening weighs on global rice prices and may lower feed-grade alternatives.
feedandgrain.comFeed, Grain StaffOct 14, 2024After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
