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The USDA FAS reports that India posted a ninth straight record harvest of major field crops in 2024-25, with total grain at 357.7 million tonnes. Rice output reached 150 million tonnes and wheat 113.2 million.
FAS expects record 2025-26 rice output of 151 million tonnes and rice exports of 25 million tonnes.
Record Indian rice output and export volumes add supply to world markets and pressure Asian rice prices lower.
After 87 past bearish report events, RICE moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.