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The IGC forecasts 2026-27 global total grains production to fall 3% from the prior season's record, with wheat and corn output below last year. Black Sea export disruption is slowing global wheat flows, with total grain shipments expected to slip to 451 million tonnes.
Lower production and slower trade tighten feed grain supplies and support prices. Smaller harvests in Oceania, Europe and the Americas outweigh bigger crops in North Africa and Near East Asia.
world-grain.comArvin DonleySep 17, 2026After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 87 past bearish report events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.4%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
