
USDA's January WASDE and Crop Production reports raised 2019 corn production to 13.692 billion bushels on 168.0 bu/acre yields, above trade estimates. Corn ending stocks came in at 1.892 billion bushels, slightly below December's projection.
Prices initially fell on the data before recovering.
Higher-than-expected corn output and ample ending stocks add supply and weigh on feed grain prices, though the late-session recovery limited the decline.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.