
The European Commission's short-term outlook projects 2023/24 EU cereal production up 8.4% to 287.9m tonnes, with maize at 65.0m tonnes and soft wheat at 130.9m tonnes. EU imports are forecast to fall 25% to 26m tonnes while exports could rise 8%.
A larger EU crop and sharply lower import needs reduce demand for world feed grains, pressuring corn, barley and wheat prices.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.