
Strategie Grains forecasts EU cereal production of 273.6 million tonnes for 2025/26, with soft wheat rising to 127.2 million tonnes, up 13 million from last year. Yields are projected at 5.9 tonnes per hectare for soft wheat.
Barley, maize and rye show smaller gains.
A larger EU cereal crop reduces import needs and adds supply to global markets, which tends to weigh on wheat and corn prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.