Wheat Falling as USDA Raises Production

After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Oct 9, 2026Wheat Faces Friday Pressure as USDA Raises Stocks-0.9%
• Jan 15, 2026USDA raises projections for US, global wheat ending stocks | World Grain+0.7%
• Feb 2, 2017Wheat producers facing below cost of production prices+0.3%
• Feb 5, 2019USW Reports on World Wheat Production and Exports - U.S. Wheat Associates-3.3%
• Dec 12, 2018USDA raises 2019 wheat and corn ending stocks | 2018-12-12 | World Grain+8.4%

After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jul 22, 2022AAFC raises wheat, canola production estimates | Farmtario-10.2%
• Oct 9, 2026Wheat Faces Friday Pressure as USDA Raises Stocks+4.0%
• Sep 13, 2017France raises again its forecast for soft wheat production+0.7%
• Dec 3, 2024Australia raises wheat production forecast by 60,000 tons+1.1%
• Sep 3, 2024Australia raises wheat production forecast by 2.7 mln tons+1.6%