
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada raised its 2022-23 Canadian wheat production forecast to 33.7 million tonnes and canola production to 18.4 million tonnes. Canola ending stocks were cut slightly to 450,000 tonnes on higher exports and domestic use.
A larger Canadian wheat and canola crop adds supply to world markets, which is bearish for wheat and canola prices, though tighter canola carryout limits the downside.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.