
Grain Central reports Statistics Canada's first 2020-21 estimates show wheat output up 10.5% to 35.74 million tonnes, the second-largest crop on record, with barley at 10.55 million tonnes and oats up 6.1% to 4.5 million tonnes. Canola and soybean output are forecast to fall, while corn is expected to increase.
A large Canadian wheat, barley and oats crop adds export supply and pressures global feed grain prices, while lower canola and soybean output supports oilseed meal prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 72 past bearish report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.8%), and -2.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.