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Statistics Canada cut its canola harvest estimate to 18.17 million tonnes, below the earlier figure and below market expectations of 19.2 million. It also lifted oat output to a 51-year high, while wheat production was trimmed to 33.82 million tonnes.
A smaller canola crop supports oilseed meal values, while the larger oat crop pressures oat prices and the wheat cut adds modest support to grain markets.
grainpricenews.comMike VerdinDec 2, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 72 past bearish report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.8%), and -2.5% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Statistics Canada raised oat output to a 51-year high, a bearish supply signal for the main exporter to the US, though it came on Dec 2 and the move direction (+21.93%) is unclear, so the link is uncertain.
