
The ABARES quarterly Crop Report says Australia's national winter grain harvest will be about 40% smaller than last year, with drought, a late season start and high temperatures blamed. Wheat is down 38%, barley 40%, canola 33% and chickpeas about 36%.
The sharp Australian crop decline reduces exportable barley and wheat supply, which supports feed grain prices in import markets.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.