ABARES' June crop report forecasts Australia's winter crop plantings down 4% to 21.1 million hectares, mainly in NSW, Queensland and Western Australia. Total winter crop output is seen slightly lower at 37.7 million tonnes, with wheat up 3% to 21.9 Mt and barley up 3% to 9.2 Mt, while canola falls 16% to 3.1 Mt.
A canola output drop and dry-driven area shifts support feed grain prices and reduce canola meal availability. Stronger barley and wheat area partly offsets the tightness.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.