
ABARES expects Australia's winter crop to reach 33.9 million tonnes, 16% below the 10-year average, with Queensland about 60% and New South Wales over 50% below average. The forecast follows last year's drought-hit harvest, which led Australia to approve imports of foreign wheat for the first time in over a decade.
Another poor harvest keeps Australian export supply tight and sustains demand for imported feed grains and wheat in the eastern states.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.