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GIWA raised its WA crop estimate to a record 27.35Mt from 26.55Mt in December. Wheat and canola areas fell while barley, lupins and oats rose; central-region wheat quality was downgraded due to late starts and low spring rain.
Higher-than-expected WA barley and oat supply adds to Australian feed grain availability, while lower wheat quality limits feed-grade premiums.
graincentral.comGrain CentralFeb 13, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 72 past bearish report events, Oats moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -3.7% to +3.8%), and -2.5% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
