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The USDA's December WASDE raised projected 2019 wheat ending stocks by 25 million bushels to 974 million, as exports were cut to 1 billion bushels, mainly in hard red winter. Corn carryout on September 1, 2019 rose to 1.781 billion bushels, 45 million above November.
Higher projected carryover in wheat and corn adds to global supply comfort and tends to cap futures prices. The lower wheat export forecast also reduces expected demand for US exports.
world-grain.comJay SjervenDec 12, 2018After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
