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USDA raised new-crop US corn and soybean ending stocks in its August supply and demand estimates, as higher production outweighed steady-to-higher demand. The agency also tightened the US wheat balance sheet on a smaller domestic crop and larger exports, citing drought losses in the EU.
Farm price outlooks were adjusted for the 2018/19 marketing year.
Higher corn and soybean carryout points to ample feed supplies and softer farm prices, while tighter wheat balances due to EU drought provide some support for wheat feed alternatives.
brownfieldagnews.comadminAug 10, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA's higher new-crop soybean and corn ending stocks, with production outweighing demand, support the bearish supply repricing.
