
Conab raised its Brazil soybean estimate to a record 167.9 million tons and increased second-crop corn to 98 million tons, up 8.5% year on year. Total corn output was put at 124.7 million tons.
Brazil's soybean exports were projected at 105.9 million tons and corn exports at 34 million tons.
A larger Brazilian soybean and corn supply and strong export outlook add competition to US exports, pressuring soybean and corn prices.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.