
Soybeans and corn closed sharply higher on January 12, with soybeans above 14 dollars and corn at limit-up above 5 dollars after USDA cut 2020 corn production and ending stocks. USDA also raised soybean meal exports and soybean oil for biofuel use, and Unknown destinations bought 120,000 tons of U.S. soybeans.
Lower corn and soybean stocks plus higher meal export demand support feed ingredient prices. Continued export buying signals firm demand that supports the price trend.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.