
Soybeans and corn rose sharply on commercial and technical buying after USDA stocks came in tighter than expected. Soybean harvest was 7% complete versus a 20% average, and China trade talks are set to resume in October with tariffs still in place.
Mexico bought 120,000 tons of 2019/20 U.S. corn.
Tight stocks and a slow harvest support prices, while China purchase hopes and Mexican demand add to the bullish case for feed grains and soymeal. Lingering tariffs and African swine fever worries cap demand.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybeans rose sharply on Sept 30 on tighter USDA stocks and slow harvest progress (7% vs 20% average), supporting meal prices.