Soybeans, meal and oil rose after USDA confirmed record 2016 US soybean production and yield, both below pre-report estimates. Quarterly and ending stocks came in lower than expected, and USDA cut Brazil's soybean crop outlook to 104 million tons.
Tighter US stocks and a smaller-than-expected crop support soybean meal and oil prices, which matter for feed formulation costs.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.