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Brownfield reports that the July WASDE lowered US corn and soybean production, using June acreage, while the USDA is resurveying producers for the August report. Wheat, soybeans, meal and oil all firmed on short covering and technical buying, while weekly export sales were bearish.
Lower US production estimates support corn and soybean complex prices, but the August resurvey could reverse them, so buyers face uncertainty.
brownfieldagnews.comJul 11, 2019After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
