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USDA's September report raised production and yield estimates for corn and soybeans, close to pre-report expectations but at record levels. Corn ending stocks rose on the month, and the agency cut its soybean import estimate for China because of trade tensions.
Wheat stocks were unchanged for the US, while world supplies rose.
Higher corn stocks and a wheat complex with a neutral-to-bearish balance sheet weigh on prices, while the lower Chinese import estimate supports soybean meal and oil spreads.
brownfieldagnews.comSep 12, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
