
Corn rose on short covering and technical buying ahead of USDA supply and demand numbers, while wheat fell. Soybean meal was pressured by supply concerns and bean oil drifted lower on demand questions.
Analysts expected slightly lower US corn ending stocks and possible cuts to South American production.
Expectations for tighter US corn stocks support corn into the report, while weaker wheat and soy products lower feed costs. The USDA numbers could move prices sharply either way.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Corn rose on Feb 10 on short covering and technical buying ahead of the WASDE, which directly describes the move's day and mechanism.