
USDA's June WASDE lowered US old- and new-crop corn and soybean ending stocks, below pre-report estimates. USDA cut Brazil's total crop estimate on dry weather affecting second-crop production, and trimmed Argentina's 2017/18 outlook.
Soybean meal rose while soybean oil fell on product spread adjustments.
Lower US stocks and reduced South American second-crop output tighten global supplies, supporting corn and meal prices. Soybean oil weakness tilts the crush margin lower.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.