
USDA's December WASDE showed global ending stocks shrinking in every category, according to CHS Hedging analyst Kent Beadle. The soybean carryout was cut again even though exports were unchanged, and he suggested USDA may wait until January to revise further.
Tighter global carryouts across grains and soybeans support prices and reduce the cushion for feed buyers. Further cuts in January would add to the bullish case.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.