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USDA's February report lowered U.S. corn and soybean ending stocks, with corn reduced by a lower 2018 crop and smaller ethanol use. Soybean ending stocks fell on a smaller crop and weaker export demand, while wheat ending stocks rose to 1.010 billion bushels.
USDA also lowered Argentine and Brazilian soybean production and China's import estimate.
Lower corn and soybean carry-out is supportive for prices, though the drop is small. Higher wheat ending stocks add bearish pressure on wheat.
brownfieldagnews.comFeb 8, 2019After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
