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USDA's November WASDE lowered U.S. soybean yield to 51.7 bpa, cutting production by 121 million bushels, while exports fell 25 million bushels and crush 15 million, so ending stocks dropped 80 million. Corn yield was lowered to a record 183.1 bpa, and corn and soybeans rose after the report.
The yield cut was partly offset by lower demand, leaving soybean stocks ample, so the price lift is likely to be modest. Corn stocks also tightened but remain comfortable.
agriculture.comNov 8, 2024
agriculturedive.comSarah ZimmermanNov 11, 2024
agweb.comNov 8, 2024After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
