USDA's September WASDE cut 2020 corn production 378 million bushels to 14.9 billion on lower yield and harvested area, while soybean production fell 112 million bushels to 4.3 billion on a 51.9 bpa yield. Corn ethanol use was cut 100 million bushels on weak gasoline demand, and corn exports were raised 100 million bushels; soybean ending stocks fell 150 million bushels to 460 million.
Lower corn and soybean supplies and reduced ending stocks tighten feed grain and soybean meal availability, supporting prices, while higher corn exports add demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA cut soybean production by 112 mil bu on a lower yield and lowered ending stocks by 150 mil bu, tightening US supply.