
ABARES' September crop report lifted Australian wheat yields 7% to 2.47 t/ha and barley yields 11% to 2.92 t/ha. Wheat production is forecast at 32.23 Mt and barley at 12.25 Mt, while canola yields rose 13%.
Higher yield expectations in Australia add to global grain supply, adding modest downward pressure on wheat, barley and canola prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.