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The European Commission's April outlook raised or held yield estimates for EU wheat, barley, corn and rapeseed compared with the initial 2025-26 forecast. Central and northern Europe face dry conditions, while southern Europe has benefited from abundant rain.
The outlook still points to a strong rebound from last year's setback.
A larger EU grain crop reduces import demand and pressures feed grain prices lower. Continued dryness in the north could cap the upside to the rebound.
ukragroconsult.comMay 1, 2025
graincentral.comGuest AuthorApr 29, 2025After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
