
A USDA FAS report estimates India's 2025-26 grain production at a record 376.6 million tonnes, with corn up 27% to a record 55.09 million tonnes. India is projected to export 2.4 million tonnes of corn this marketing year and wheat exports are forecast to rise to 2 million tonnes in 2026-27.
Higher Indian corn exports add supply to Asian markets and pressure corn prices, while wheat export growth could weigh on global wheat values.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.